Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.037724 0.040984 0.044258 0.047788 0.051479 0.055219 0.059290
2025-12-07 0.032900 0.037771 0.042815 0.048407 0.054411 0.060641 0.067576
2025-12-14 0.028844 0.034854 0.041256 0.048528 0.056510 0.064957 0.074529
2025-12-21 0.026291 0.033253 0.040851 0.049663 0.059513 0.070102 0.082267
2025-12-28 0.022994 0.030509 0.038918 0.048875 0.060202 0.072562 0.086947
2026-01-04 0.020801 0.028829 0.038014 0.049087 0.061874 0.076000 0.092615
2026-01-11 0.019196 0.027693 0.037617 0.049770 0.063989 0.079862 0.098698
2026-01-18 0.017758 0.026640 0.037216 0.050363 0.065928 0.083469 0.104449
2026-01-25 0.015347 0.024205 0.035014 0.048697 0.065129 0.083857 0.106464
2026-02-01 0.013753 0.022694 0.033845 0.048183 0.065611 0.085661 0.110047
2026-02-08 0.012469 0.021497 0.032991 0.047988 0.066418 0.087800 0.113982
2026-02-15 0.011977 0.021325 0.033409 0.049340 0.069071 0.092093 0.120416
2026-02-22 0.011361 0.020968 0.033592 0.050421 0.071436 0.096107 0.126606
2026-03-01 0.010622 0.020388 0.033451 0.051074 0.073268 0.099491 0.132068
2026-03-08 0.009746 0.019551 0.032927 0.051205 0.074436 0.102067 0.136573
2026-03-15 0.009317 0.019342 0.033226 0.052380 0.076890 0.106187 0.142911
2026-03-22 0.008243 0.018080 0.032032 0.051568 0.076825 0.107239 0.145581
2026-03-29 0.007595 0.017430 0.031646 0.051787 0.078036 0.109824 0.150070
2026-04-05 0.007150 0.017067 0.031641 0.052493 0.079850 0.113135 0.155427
2026-04-12 0.006709 0.016679 0.031578 0.053105 0.081534 0.116281 0.160584
2026-04-19 0.005657 0.015172 0.029832 0.051385 0.080179 0.115653 0.161152
2026-04-26 0.005011 0.014307 0.028982 0.050855 0.080333 0.116869 0.163938
2026-05-03 0.004500 0.013636 0.028390 0.050653 0.080896 0.118580 0.167319